Bespoke Investment Group’s analysis suggests that the S&P 500 index is poised for continued upward momentum in 2024, building on its strong January performance.
The research team at Bespoke observed a historical trend wherein, if the S&P 500 maintains positive gains through a certain point in January, it tends to further climb during the final four trading days of the month.
When the index concludes January with a positive performance, the probability of sustained growth throughout the year significantly improves. According to Bespoke’s analysis spanning from 1953 to 2023, when the S&P 500 exhibited a 2% or more gain in January, the median performance for the rest of the year averaged an impressive 13.5%.
Additionally, positive returns were recorded for the remainder of the year in 84% of such instances.
Conversely, when the S&P 500 finishes January with gains of less than 2% or in negative territory, the median performance for the rest of the year drops to 6.4%, with positive returns occurring in only 68% of cases. Presently, FactSet data indicates a 2.5% increase in the S&P 500 since the start of January.
Although the index is set to finish slightly lower on Friday, down 0.1% at 4,887 in the final 90 minutes of trading for the week, historical trends suggest an optimistic outlook for the rest of the year based on the January performance.
Fed Chair Powell: Economic Strength Lets Fed Take Cautious Approach on Rate Cuts Federal Reserve…
When it comes to achieving consistent success in day trading, understanding the nuances of entry,…
Investors are increasingly focused on the future of inflation, even as today’s consumer price index…
Though stocks have recently enjoyed a strong run, Deutsche Bank strategists have highlighted that stock-market…
Today, we’re going to examine the Sonic Trading System in action. With multiple signals already…
Tony Roth, Chief Investment Officer at Wilmington Trust, projects that the S&P 500 could climb…