In 2023, despite initial concerns of a recession, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) resiliently surged by 24%. The initial seven months witnessed a strong 20% increase, propelled by robust economic growth, subdued inflation, and a growing interest in artificial intelligence. However, the latter part of the year presented challenges. A...
Misjudging the timing of rate cuts poses a significant risk, caution TS Lombard strategists Amidst a robust “everything rally” driven by high expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate reductions to stave off a recession, the peril of inaccurately timing these cuts is underscored by Skylar Montgomery Koning and Andrea Cicione,...
Deutsche Bank’s analysis points out that historically, a 1.5 percentage point reduction (equivalent to 150 basis points) in interest rates by the Federal Reserve has typically been linked to economic recessions. Investors, hopeful for a gradual economic slowdown, find solace in the market’s anticipation of the Fed implementing such rate...
The upcoming week is poised to be a crucial juncture with several significant events that could shape the course of various markets. Despite an uncertain start for stocks in 2024, the first full trading week of the new year is expected to establish a definitive tone for the months ahead....
Stock investors have had a tumultuous beginning to the new year, grappling with uncertainties surrounding the Federal Reserve’s 2024 interest-rate cuts in terms of timing and magnitude. The impressive nine-week winning streak across all major U.S. stock indexes abruptly ended on Friday. This shift was prompted by unexpectedly strong job...
The dominance of large-cap stocks over small-caps and midcaps is underscored by the prevailing “winner-take-all” economy, despite the Russell 2000 index’s 17% gain in 2023. Small-cap and midcap stocks, although seemingly undervalued compared to a year ago, present a deceptive picture. However, this appearance conceals two crucial factors. Firstly, the...
