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Prediction Comes True: Dow Drops 500+ Points 1st Full Trading Day

Have you been reading through our posts lately? If not, pause on this article and go back to the last two or three posts. You’ll see for yourself that John Paul clearly predicted there would be a major sell-off early in January 2021. Guess what happened on January 4, 2021 – the first full trading day of the year? The big-sell off he predicted. Wow!

If you haven’t seen the video below, do yourself a favor and give it a watch. Maybe give it a subscribe as well on YouTube so you can get updated when new videos like this are released. You can Google the January 4, 20201 sell-off yourself and see that it is true. All the major media outlets reported on it: Fox, CNN, New York Times, MarketWatch, etc.

Sure, the pundits had many causes for the sell-off. Who knows the true cause or factors. As price action day traders, we are more concerned with HOW we can use such predictions and HOW to find intraday opportunities on our charts. This is the main purpose of the latest video.

In the video, you’ll see John Paul use the price action Trade Scalper trading software to identify opportunities. The Trade Scalper is ideal for this because you can find trades throughout the day. And when a sell-off occurs, it is not immediately apparent because after market open, it could just be a down day. You have to observe recent price drops using a daily chart time frame and know where recent lows are and average price drops of recent times. There is a certain threshold where a price drop becomes substantial, when it becomes a sell-off, and then later possibly, a crash. We tend to think of a sell-off as a more organized selling of assets rather than a fearful dumping, as with a crash.

Therefore, it may be late morning or early afternoon before you think, “Yes, this is a sell-off,” and then get your trading systems primed for short (selling) opportunities. The Trade Scalper is well-suited for this purpose, as it provides opportunities all day long. Yes, some are better than others and that’s why students are taught how to find the best opportunities. Generally, scalping has you going for smaller profit targets with smaller stop losses than other methods. Nevertheless, there is significant hypothetical profit to be had. For instance, trading one contract may have yielded $187.50 for the 15-tick trade, according to John Paul’s video summation.

Market Prediction: Early January 2021 Sell-Off Expected

In the day trading industry, predictions are a dime a million. So many people make predictions all the time and they readily point out predictions that come true. That is not so much the problem. The problem is that when many predictions are made, there are some that will likely be correct and some that are not. If you do not point out those that are incorrect, then you do not have a good track record. Wouldn’t you say that’s true?

John Paul, founder of DayTradeToWin.com, makes relatively few predictions about what he expects to occur in the markets. Just about every year, he releases a January Effect video that discusses what the overall trend of the E-mini S&P 500 will be for the year. You can go back and look for yourself – they January Effect has been an accurate predictor. Again in 2020, we see the year closing at a much higher value than it opened, which is exactly what the January Effect predicted. And this is occurring despite the crash that happened earlier in the year and all of the controversies and huge impacts coronavirus and the like have had in 2020.

So, when John Paul comes out and makes a prediction about what to expect in 2021, like he has done recently, it may be worth your while to listen. This is not common. Basically, he says that you should be on the lookout for a big sell-off in early January 2021. He does not say where he is getting his information from. Whether or not he has inside connections or it is his years of analysis and trading, that is left up for your speculation. Rather, his prediction and subsequent videos focus on what YOU can do as a trader. He wants you to make the most out of this activity – that is, to find intraday winners during a sell-off. Watch the video to learn more.

If and when a sell-off occurs, it should be recognized as such in the headlines. After all, the Oxford dictionary defines a “sell-off” as a “sale of assets, typically at a low price, carried out in order to dispose of them rather than as normal trade.” The North American Oxford definition is, “a sale of shares, bonds, or commodities, especially one that causes a fall in price.” Indeed, there are plenty of reasons for pundits to point to and say, “Yes, here is the reason for the sell-off.” As price action traders, we do not care about pundits. We care about price action, which means identifying opportunities using our knowledge of price action patterns and software.

For instance, if the Atlas Line or Trade Scalper are in use during a sell-off, those signals in the “sell direction” (i.e. short) are seen as having greater importance. In effect, the sell-off serves to help validate those short signals. If you are serious about learning to day trade or want trading signals for the anticipated January 2021 sell-off, now is the time to take action. The DayTradeToWin.com website has multiple options, including a complete coaching program that lasts eight weeks.

If we see the Dow drop significantly, for example, we should expect the S&P, and therefore the E-mini S&P, to drop as well. The sell-off may not occur right out of the gate (i.e. right when the market opens). You’ll have to let price prove to you that a sell-off is occurring. Then at that point, look for short trades. This could be later morning or early afternoon. The news may not identify the sell-off as a sell-off right away, so it’s important to gauge the price activity for yourself. Compare with recent bearish trends and see what would be a significant change. What price level must be approached to qualify? Refer to John Paul’s market analysis.

Pro Day Trader Predicts E-mini Sell-Off in Early 2021

In early January 2021, you may well see the E-mini S&P price drop signficiantly. John Paul from DayTradeToWin’s market analysis is provided in the video below. He believes a number of factors will contribute to a multi-day or multi-week price drop, including COVID-19 impact/strain news, vaccine reports, a slower than anticipated recovery due to a slower Q4 pandemic economy, an outgoing U.S. president who may take certain actions during his final days in office, a new U.S. president who may want to overturn existing policies or impose new laws/rules that impact the markets, etc. As you can imagine, the list goes on and on.

So, how can you take advantage of this? If you have a big trading account and don’t mind holding a position for multiple days, you could short the market after multiple days “prove” the bearish trend. If you’re a regular intraday trader, then you can use the various day trading systems offered by DayTradeToWin. One idea is to prioritize short signals, especially when price crosses and stays below the Atlas Line for the given day. This prediction may well provide you another level of relative confirmation. For more frequent opportunities, consider scalping when the Atlas Line and sell-off are indicating short.

If you have paid attention to DayTradeToWin.com’s trading videos, almost every year you will find a January Effect video. In these videos, John Paul provides a prediction if the E-mini’s price will be higher or lower by December 30. If the month of January closes higher than it opened, it is said that by December 30, price will be higher than its position in January. This is the main rule of the January Effect. Even if we see the predicted sell-off, that does not mean the January Effect will be “off.” Price may well close higher and thus we see another up year as we did in 2020. By the way, isn’t it remarkable that the January Effect again appears to be correct despite the big pandemic crash in 2020? This is why you should pay attention to what John Paul says when it comes to the markets.

Want to Learn How to Use NinjaTrader? Start Here

ATM Strategies – do you know what they are? No, it’s not a way to turn your computer into a cash dispensing machine. Though perhaps in some abstract way, in the best case scenario, there could be some truth to that. Rather, an ATM Strategy is a way to define, in advance, a profit target and stop loss, so that when you enter into a trade via your platform, the defined ATM Strategy is applied. Thus, you don’t have to worry about clicking too many buttons in the heat of the moment. How does one configure an ATM Strategy? Watch this video to find out…

There are multiple places where one can configure an ATM Strategy. We prefer to do so via the bottom the SuperDOM window. If you do not yet have a SuperDOM window open, go to the NinjaTrader Control Center > New > Dynamic SuperDOM. From there, look to the bottom of the window. If necessary, resize the window; i.e. reduce its height to bring the ATM Strategy area into view.

Perhaps difficult to find at first, you can create a new ATM Strategy through the drop-down where it says, “None.” There, click Custom, and begin to define an ATM Strategy using tick values for the profit target and stop loss. Remember, when it comes to the E-mini, four ticks are considered a point. For example, if your trading strategy often requires you going for two points, you would use eight ticks for the profit target.

It is important to give your ATM Strategy a name that allows for easy recognition in the future and lends itself to easy organization. For example, a name format of P8S16 could mean a profit target of 8 ticks (two points) and a stop loss of 16 ticks (four points). Thereafter, one can easily identify the most suitable ATM Strategy for the current market conditions.

At this point, it is worth noting that the day trading courses and software from DayTradeToWin.com are based on real-time conditions. That means the price action dictates what is reasonable for the given moment rather than inflexible rules that subject the trader to increased risk. If you want to learn how to use NinjaTrader, continue your reading here.

Trading Coach Confirm’s Student’s E-mini Scalp Trade

John Paul, founder of DayTradeToWin.com, recently shared this video with his commentary. He received the recording from a student who wanted to confirm whether he traded correctly based on the real-time Trade Scalper signal. For those who do not know, the Trade Scalper is a price action trading system that can be used for many types of markets. In many of the DayTradeToWin videos, you will see the E-mini because the ES is the most popular futures market.

In the included training manual, training video, and live training session, you will fully learn how to find these trades on your own. That’s right – you don’t even have to use the Trade Scalper signals. We like to use them, as do many clients, because it just makes it easier to find the trades. You can configure a sound to play whenever a signal appears. If you’re doing other things on your computer, you can quickly switch back to NinjaTrader, place a trade, and once it’s over, go back to other work.

With any type of trading, it’s important to practice for a while with a real-time, simulated data feed/account. This way, you can set yourself up with a reasonable amount of play money and see how you do with the risk of real loss. If you see success, you may want to start trading the MES (Micro E-mini S&P) because of reduced costs. Keep in mind that scalping the MES will produce small profits because the MES is already reduced. It’s still a great stepping stone on your journey to become a day trader.

If you would like to add the Trade Scalper to your arsenal, you may do so through the official page here.

Have You Seen This E-mini Trading Video?

If you take a look at this video, you can see three signals from two trading systems: Atlas Line and Trade Scalper. These trading systems are found exclusively through the DayTradeToWin.com website. After purchase, you can plug them right into your chart and see signals.

If you need real-time futures practice data and/or the trading platform, DayTradeToWin.com can point you in the right direction. In fact, they have a free Get Started Trading Guide that’s great for new traders who have never seen or understood day trading charts.

Is a profit of $1,500 typical? Some days are better than others. That’s just the way trading is. Regardless of failure or success, it’s important to trade with money set aside for high risk trading. Before you even trade with real money, you’ll probably want to practice using real-time data. This way, you can monitor your performance during an experience that is as close to the real thing as possible.

The first signal is from the Trade Scalper. The Trade Scalper goes for many small trades throughout the day. Lately, it’s been used on a 1-Minute chart more than any other. That’s because of the high volatility. There have been many big events this year (2020) and who knows – more may come. You’ll probably want to stick with a 1-Minute chart throughout the year and for a time in 2021. Historically, that’s what was used anyway.

The 1-Minute chart has also been exceptionally useful for the Atlas Line. Traditionally, the Atlas Line was used on a 5-Minute chart. However, as of late, we’ve seen the ATR (Average True Range) well exceed the five-point maximum, so we’ve been using a 1-Minute chart almost exclusively. That’s great, though, because you can use both the Trade Scalper and Atlas Line on the same chart. More signals at the ready!

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NinjaTrader 8 Tutorial Videos

Part 1 – How to Download NinjaTrader 8

Part 2 – How To Connect to a NinjaTrader 8 Data Feed

Part 3 – How to Open a Chart in NinjaTrader 8

Part 4 – How to Add Indicators to a Chart in NinjaTrader 8

Part 5 – How to Install Indicators Into Ninjatrader 8

Part 6 – How to Save Indicator Settings (Presets)

Part 7 – How to License Indicators in NinjaTrader 8

Part 8 – How to Remove an Indicator in NinjaTrader 8

Part 9 – How to Use a SuperDOM in NinjaTrader 8

Part 10 – How to Roll Over Futures Contracts in NinjaTrader 8

Part 11 – How to Use NinjaTrader 8’s Market Replay

Part 12 – How to Fix Data Problems in NinjaTrader 8

Part 13 – How to Back up Your NinjaTrader 8 Settings

Part 14 – How to Track Trading Performance in NinjaTrader 8

Part 15 – How to Use Chart Tabs in NinjaTrader 8

© 2017 DayTradeToWin.org. All rights reserved.

The content at this site was created by DayTradeToWin or its affiliates. The author(s) may have been directly or indirectly compensated for the content. All content should be should be treated as an advertisement. Trading is inherently risky and substantial financial loss can occur. Hypothetical performance is not indicative of future results. Results may vary due to the unpredictable nature of the markets, slippage, user behavior, geographical distance to data centers, and other factors.

CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN.

GOVERNMENT REGULATIONS REQUIRE DISCLOSURE OF THE FACT THAT WHILE THESE METHODS MAY HAVE WORKED IN THE PAST, PAST RESULTS ARE NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS. WHILE THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR PROFITS THERE IS ALSO A RISK OF LOSS. A LOSS INCURRED IN CONNECTION WITH TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS CAN BE SIGNIFICANT. YOU SHOULD THEREFORE CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR FINANCIAL CONDITION SINCE ALL SPECULATIVE TRADING IS INHERENTLY RISKY AND SHOULD ONLY BE UNDERTAKEN BY INDIVIDUALS WITH ADEQUATE RISK CAPITAL.

ANY ADVISORY OR SIGNAL GENERATED BY DAY TRADE TO WIN IS PROVIDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSED ONLY. ANY TRADES PLACED UPON RELIANCE ON WWW.DAYTRADETOWIN.COM SYSTEMS ARE TAKEN AT YOUR OWN RISK FOR YOUR OWN ACCOUNT. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NO GUARANTEE OF FUTURE RESULTS. WHILE THERE IS GREAT POTENTIAL FOR REWARD TRADING COMMODITY FUTURES, THERE IS ALSO SUBSTANTIAL RISK OF LOSS IN ALL TRADING. YOU MUST DECIDE YOUR OWN SUITABILITY TO TRADE OR NOT. FUTURES RESULTS CAN NEVER BE GUARANTEED. THIS IS NOT AN OFFER TO BUY OR SELL FUTURES OR COMMODITY INTERESTS.