November CPI Could Upend December Rate Cut Expectations Traders in fed-funds futures currently place an 85% chance on the Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points at its December policy meeting. This level of confidence aligns with historical norms during the Fed’s “blackout” period, when officials refrain from public...
Pimco, one of the world’s largest bond managers with $2 trillion in assets under management, is recalibrating its investment strategy amid concerns over the U.S. fiscal outlook. The firm has been reducing its exposure to longer-duration U.S. Treasurys, citing factors that could drive yields higher, such as inflation, economic growth,...
The stock market is at record highs, but declining profit projections for S&P 500 companies suggest a potential pullback is on the horizon. Wall Street analysts have lowered their 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates by 0.5% over the past six months, dropping from $276 in June to $273, according...
If that were true, it would actually suggest that Wall Street irrational exuberance is fading, a positive sign for contrarian investors. Stock traders are growing more bullish and complacent—and that’s a bearish indicator. A new concern for the stock market is the CBOE’s SKEW Index reaching an all-time high. Many...
French Bond Yields Match Greek Levels Amid Political Turmoil Yields on French 10-year bonds have risen to levels comparable to those of Greece, signaling market concerns over France’s political and fiscal stability. On Tuesday, French bond yields reached 2.90%, just shy of the 2.92% yield on Greek bonds of the...
Stocks Signal Promising Returns as Volatility Falls and Late-Day Buying Surges: SentimenTrader Traders have been snapping up stocks during the final hour of trading over the past two weeks, coinciding with a sharp decline in the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX). These developments suggest favorable conditions for the stock market in...
