Since the early 1980s, only twice has the 10-year Treasury yield surged nearly as much as the Federal Reserve has slashed interest rates—a rare event tied closely to rising inflation expectations. This unusual bond market behavior is now rattling stock market investors. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which influences borrowing...
Gold Futures Rally Amid Fiscal Concerns and Safe-Haven Demand Gold futures are trading 1.9% higher so far in 2025, with prices reaching a four-week high on Thursday. This surge comes despite typically adverse conditions, including a stronger U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields, as investors seek refuge from growing fiscal...
The Santa Claus Rally, known for the S&P 500 (SPX) tendency to rise during the final five trading days of a year and the first two of the new year, failed to materialize this time, with the index dropping 0.53%. In contrast, the first-five-days indicator offered a more positive outlook,...
Beware When Market Timers Stay Bullish After a Sharp Downturn Recent shifts in market sentiment underscore a critical lesson for investors: sustained bullishness after a market downturn can be a red flag. In early December, stock-market timers exhibited extraordinary optimism, with the Hulbert Stock Newsletter Sentiment Index (HSNSI) reaching a...
Are You an Optimist or a Pessimist? Try This Market Investing Test Investing like Warren Buffett doesn’t have to be overly complex. His tried-and-true approach is simple: buy shares of well-run, undervalued companies and hold them for decades. However, there’s a less-discussed element to his success: his optimistic outlook. Buffett’s...
The S&P 500 experienced a historically poor market close to 2024, according to Bespoke Investment Group, ending an otherwise strong year on a downbeat note. U.S. stocks stumbled into 2025, with the S&P 500 SPX -0.22% slipping 0.2% during Thursday’s opening trading session of the new year. This followed a...
